A Simple Stochastic Stomach Cancer Model with Application
Date
2018-04Author
Ikiao, Josphat Mutwiri
Kennedy, Nyongesa
Gitunga, Robert Muriungi
Metadata
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Survival analysis majors mainly on estimation of time taken before an event of interest takes place. Time taken
before an event of interest takes place is a random process that takes shape overtime. Stochastic processes theory is therefore very crucial in analysis of survival data. The study employed markov chain theory in developing a simple stochastic stomach cancer model. The model is depicted with a state diagram and a stochastic matrix. The model was applied to stomach cancer data obtained from Meru Hospice. Transition probability theory was used in determining transition probabilities. The entries of the stochastic matrix T were estimated using the Aalen-Johansen estimators. The time taken for all the people under the study to transit to death was estimated using the limiting matrix.